I HATE unders, but.....

Everyone who listened to "What's Your Fantasy" last season knows that I HATE unders, but every once in awhile one comes along that you have to take. Last year's National Title game between Florida and Oklahoma was a perfect example. Neither of those teams had played a meaningful game in over 6 weeks, yet the point total was over 70, and they didn't come close. Tonight Boise State is hosting the Oregon Ducks and the total is currently listed at 64, and I think that is too high.

Boise State has the impression of playing in alot of high scoring games, and that is because of past year's teams. Boise State had 5 games in 2007 that went over 64 points, but only had 2 games go over 64 last season, including their 37-32 win over Oregon last season. My argument here is much the same as it was for the National Title game this past January. These teams haven't played meaningful football in a long time. There is no college pre-season, and most of the times college teams schedule an easy game for a home opener as a warm up game. I think these teams come out just a little bit rusty, and take a few drives to get in the groove, which could lead to a lower final score. I think people are remembering back to last year's game, but that was in Week 3 after having a couple of games to get their offenses up to speed, and they only scored 69. Those are my reasons for betting the under tonight, take it or leave it.